If the US wanted to increase its gold holdings to 17% of debt ($6.12 trillion) without causing an immediate market shock, it would need a long-term, phased accumulation strategy—possibly combined with an official gold revaluation. Here’s how this could play out:
| Year | Gold Bought (tons) | Cumulative US Holdings (tons) | Estimated Gold Price (USD/oz) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 1,500 | 9,633 | $3,500 - $4,000 |
| 2030 | 1,500/yr (7,500 total) | 16,133 | $6,000 - $8,000 |
| 2035 | 1,500/yr (15,000 total) | 23,133 | $10,000 - $12,000 |
| 2040 | 1,500/yr (22,500 total) | 30,633 | $15,000 - $20,000 |
✅ Less market disruption than a sudden buy.
✅ Allows miners to expand production (though only +1-3% yearly).
❌ Still requires buying ~50% of global supply, crowding out private demand.
❌ Prices still rise 5-7x over 15 years.
Instead of buying gold, the US could revalue its existing reserves at a higher price to meet the 17% debt-backing goal.